Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Odds fell to 0% on Aug 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? On , the market’s odds fell from 44.5¢ to 0.1¢ (-44.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Semafor Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match44.5¢
+5m8.1¢
+30m0.3¢
+1h0.1¢
+24h0.1¢
1h move-44.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoSemafor Reporter94%match
Most interesting story so far is #FLSen, where state Rep. Angie Nixon, who joined DSA during her campaign, is winning the big Dem strongholds and could beat Alexander Vindman, which would set millions of $ of resistance cash on fire. • •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$100K

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Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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