Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Odds fell to 0% on Aug 8, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? On , the market’s odds fell from 9.6¢ to 0.3¢ (-9.3 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Fox Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match9.6¢
+5m11.1¢
+30m0.2¢
+1h0.3¢
1h move-9.3 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 8, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 10¢ → 0.3¢-9.7 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 11.2¢ → 0.3¢-10.9 ptsafter a signal from APws
  • 8.9¢ → 0.3¢-8.6 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
  • 9¢ → 0.3¢-8.7 ptsafter a signal from politico.com

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralFox Reporter95%match
Senate now voting to confirm Blanche as AG
Neutralpolitico.com96%match
Live: Senate confirms Blanche as attorney general

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$5K

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Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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