Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth <25%? Odds jumped to 90% on Aug 20, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth <25%? On , the market’s odds jumped from 75¢ to 90¢ (+15 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from nikkei.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match75¢
+5m77¢
+30m90¢
+1h90¢
1h move+15 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 20, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 77¢ → 90¢+13.1 ptsafter a signal from nikkei

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Neutralnikkei.com97%match
Walmart saw a 6% increase in revenue for the May-July quarter, but its growth rate slowed despite strong e-commerce performance, causing its stock price to fall 9%.
Neutralnikkei96%match
Walmart's revenue rose 6% in May-July, but growth slowed despite strong e-commerce performance, causing its stock price to fall 9%.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$9K

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Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth <25%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth __? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.