United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMoveJul 15, 2026, 20:03 UTC

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+? On Jul 15, 2026, 20:03 UTC, the market’s odds jumped from 80¢ to 100¢ (+20 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from livesquawk. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match80¢

+5m80¢

+30m100¢

+1h100¢

1h move+20 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yeslivesquawk99%match

$UAL | United Airlines Q2 26 Earnings: • • • Revenue: $17.7B (est $17.55B) • • Adj EPS: $1.99 (est $1.85) • • Passenger Revenue: $16.10B (est $16.02B) • • PRASM: 18.45c, +13% Y/Y • • CASM Ex-Fuel: 13.12c, +6.1% Y/Y • • Available Seat Miles: 87.28B (est 86.80B) • • CapEx: $1.34B +4.4% Y/Y

Jul 15, 2026, 20:03 UTC

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 15:52 UTC.

YES100¢

NO0¢

Vol$6K

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United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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