Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? Odds fell to 14% on Sep 23, 2026

OpenMove

Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? On , the market’s odds fell from 29.5¢ to 14.5¢ (-15 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from News.

How did the odds move?

At match29.5¢
+5m12.5¢
+30m14.5¢
+1h14.5¢
1h move-15 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralNews94%match
*TRUMP, XI SHAKE HANDS AHEAD OF SUMMIT TALKS IN DC

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 16% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES16¢
NO85¢

Vol$11K

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Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for How long will Trump and Xi shake hands? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.