Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Odds jumped to 29% on Jul 31, 2026
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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 17.5¢ to 29¢ (+11.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from dj.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 31, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 17.5¢ → 29¢+11.5 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
- 17.5¢ → 28.5¢+11 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 19% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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