S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13? Odds fell to 14% on Jul 13, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13? On , the market’s odds fell from 26.5¢ to 13.5¢ (-13 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match26.5¢
+5m34.5¢
+30m33.5¢
+1h13.5¢
1h move-13 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoReuters99%match
S&P 500 Down 23.26 Points, or 0.31 %, at 7,552.13 After Market Open

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put Up at 0%, as of .

Up0¢
Down100¢

Vol$181K

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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.