Spain snap election called in 2026? Odds jumped to 73% on Oct 2, 2026

OpenMove

Spain snap election called in 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 60.5¢ to 72.5¢ (+12 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Channel 12 (N12).

How did the odds move?

At match60.5¢
+5m61¢
+30m61.5¢
+1h72.5¢
1h move+12 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesChannel 12 (N12)95%match
Assaf Rosenzweig Reports in Spain: Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez may bring forward the parliamentary elections scheduled for 2027 to November 29. Amid widespread public outcry, Sanchez's government is promoting new laws to protect apartment tenants, but the Catalan and Basque parties have made it clear that they will not support the legislation, and therefore Sanchez is expected to face defeat.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 67% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES67¢
NO33¢

Vol$47K

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Spain snap election called in 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.