Spain snap election called by October 31? Odds jumped to 100% on Oct 5, 2026
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Spain snap election called by October 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 70¢ to 99.8¢ (+29.8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from bbc.com.
How did the odds move?
70¢
74¢
99.8¢
99.8¢
+29.8 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Oct 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 84.5¢ → 99.7¢+15.2 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
What moved the odds?
Yesbbc.com96%match
Live: Spanish PM expected to call snap election in national address
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
$65K
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Spain snap election called by October 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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