Spain snap election called by November 30? Odds jumped to 100% on Oct 5, 2026
Open
Spain snap election called by November 30? On , the market’s odds jumped from 83.5¢ to 99.6¢ (+16.1 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Oct 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 90.2¢ → 99.6¢+9.5 ptsafter a signal from vesti.ru
- 90.9¢ → 99.6¢+8.8 ptsafter a signal from lefigaro.fr
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
$21K
Follow this market
Spain snap election called by November 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Spain snap election called — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.