Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31? Odds jumped to 60% on Oct 11, 2026
Open
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 40.5¢ to 60¢ (+19.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran's judiciary-run Mizan.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Oct 11, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 40.5¢ → 66.5¢+26 ptsafter a signal from Flightradar
- 54.5¢ → 90¢+35.5 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Public Broadcaster
- 54.5¢ → 90.5¢+36 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Tasnim
- 53.5¢ → 90¢+36.5 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
- 92¢ → 77.5¢-14.5 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Fars
- 89.5¢ → 56¢-33.5 ptsafter a signal from news.sky.com
- 89¢ → 57¢-32 ptsafter a signal from Questionably accurate pro-Iran channel
- 89¢ → 52¢-37 ptsafter a signal from iranintlbrk
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 60% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
$17K
Follow this market
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Riyadh airport closed to departures for 24 hours — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.