Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%? On , the market’s odds jumped from 75¢ to 100¢ (+25 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match75¢
+5m73.2¢
+30m100¢
+1h100¢
+24h100¢
1h move+25 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoReuters99%match
Progressive Shares Drop 7.9% After Quarterly Results

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$3K

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Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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