Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%? Odds fell to 0% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%? On , the market’s odds fell from 12¢ to 0.1¢ (-11.9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match12¢
+5m12¢
+30m0.1¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-11.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoReuters99%match
Progressive Shares Drop 7.9% After Quarterly Results

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$5K

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Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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