OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31? Odds jumped to 96% on Sep 27, 2026

ResolvedMove

OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 87¢ to 95.9¢ (+8.9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from vesti.ru. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match87¢
+5m87¢
+30m93.1¢
+1h95.9¢
1h move+8.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralvesti.ru96%match
OpenAI has stopped training several AI models due to their dangerous behavior.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$3K

Follow this market

OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.