Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%? Odds fell to 0% on Jul 16, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%? On , the market’s odds fell from 23.5¢ to 0.2¢ (-23.3 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from faststocknewss. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match23.5¢
+5m9.5¢
+30m0.2¢
+1h0.2¢
1h move-23.3 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 16, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 23.5¢ → 0.2¢-23.3 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk

What moved the odds?

Neutralfaststocknewss96%match
NETFLIX $NFLX Q2 ROUGHLY IN LINE, Q3 GUIDANCE BELOW ESTIMATES • • Q2: • - EPS: $0.80 vs $0.79 est, slight beat • - Revenue: $12.56B vs $12.59B est, roughly in line • - Net income: $3,401M • - Free cash flow: $1.53B • • Q3 guidance: • - Revenue: $12.86B vs $13.01B est, below • - EPS: $0.82 vs $0.84 est, below • - Operating margin: 33.2% • • FY2026 revenue guided at $51.0-51.4B vs $51.41B est, with the operating margin outlook held at 31.5% and ad revenue still seen reaching $3B. Netflix will cut its viewing-hours report to once a year starting in 2027, after ending quarterly subscriber disclosures in 2025.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$8K

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Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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