Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 17% on Jul 21, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 7.7¢ to 16.9¢ (+9.2 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Ukrainian Media. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match7.7¢
+5m7.5¢
+30m7.6¢
+1h16.9¢
+24h10¢
1h move+9.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralUkrainian Media94%match
Zelensky held a meeting with Fedorov - advisor President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky on Tuesday held a meeting with former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, presidential communications advisor Dmytro Lytvyn reported. He also told reporters that the president is still holding meetings.... #fedorov #meeting #zelensky @interfax_uk

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$133K

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Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.