Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? Odds jumped to 69% on Jul 13, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 58¢ to 69¢ (+11 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from News. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match58¢
+5m59.5¢
+30m57¢
+1h69¢
1h move+11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesNews99%match
RESTRICTIONS ON THE ACCEPTION AND RELEASE OF AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN LIFTED AT SHEREMETYEVO - ROSAVIATSIYA
YesNews99%match
TEMPORARY RESTRICTIONS ON THE ACCEPTION AND RELEASE OF AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED AT SHEREMETYEVO AIRPORT - ROSAVIATSIYA

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$9K

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Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Moscow air traffic suspended — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.