Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? Odds jumped to 25% on Jul 8, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 11¢ to 24.5¢ (+13.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Politico Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match11¢
+5m11¢
+30m11¢
+1h24.5¢
+24h10.5¢
1h move+13.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoPolitico Reporter98%match
Kentucky gov sending a letter to McConnell this morning asking for a health update:

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$64K

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Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.