Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Odds fell to 69% on Nov 9, 2026
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Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? On , the market’s odds fell from 78.5¢ to 69¢ (-9.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 5-source news cluster, from Asharq.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Nov 9, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 78.5¢ → 67.5¢-11 ptsafter a signal from Al Jazeera
- 77.5¢ → 68¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from afp.com
- 76.5¢ → 68¢-8.5 ptsafter a signal from Reuters Reporter
- 91¢ → 68¢-23 ptsafter a signal from Questionably accurate pro-Iran channel
- 91¢ → 68¢-23 ptsafter a signal from Questionably accurate pro-Iran channel
- 89¢ → 69¢-20 ptsafter a signal from Lebanese broadcaster Al-Jadeed
- 87¢ → 68.5¢-18.5 ptsafter a signal from Kan Reporter
What moved the odds?
Part of a 5-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 90% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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