Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 12.5%+? Odds fell to 4% on Jul 30, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 12.5%+? On , the market’s odds fell from 35.9¢ to 4.5¢ (-31.4 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from financialjuice. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match35.9¢
+5m4.5¢
+30m4.5¢
+1h4.5¢
1h move-31.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 30, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 35.9¢ → 4.5¢-31.4 ptsafter a signal from marketnews_feed
  • 35.9¢ → 4.5¢-31.4 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Nofinancialjuice97%match
$MA Mastercard Q2 Earnings EPS $4.97, est. $4.77 Adjusted EPS $5.04, est. $4.77 Net revenue $9.3B, est. $9.08B Purchase volume $2.42T, est. $2.40T Cross-border volumes +12%, est. +10.6%
Nomarketnews_feed97%match
$MA MASTERCARD Q2 EARNINGS EPS $4.97, EST. $4.77 ADJUSTED EPS $5.04, EST. $4.77 NET REVENUE $9.3B, EST. $9.08B PURCHASE VOLUME $2.42T, EST. $2.40T CROSS-BORDER VOLUMES +12%, EST. +10.6%
Nolivesquawk97%match
$MA | Mastercard Q2 2026 Earnings • - Net Rev. $9.3B (est $9.08B) • - Adj EPS $5.04 (est $4.71) • - Purchase Volume $2.42T (est $2.4T) • - Cross-Border Volumes +12% (est +10.6%) • - Sees Q3 Operating Expenses Growth High Single Digit

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$1K

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Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 12.5%+? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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