Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? Odds jumped to 98% on Oct 13, 2026

OpenMove

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 82.5¢ to 98¢ (+15.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 6-source news cluster, from Reuters.

How did the odds move?

At match82.5¢
+5m95.5¢
+30m97.1¢
+1h98¢
1h move+15.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Oct 13, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 82.5¢ → 98¢+15.5 ptsafter a signal from DC Examiner Reporter

What moved the odds?

Part of a 6-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesReuters97%match
White House: Have Asked Ambassador to Greece Guilfoyle to Resign
Yesfaststocknewss97%match
WHITE HOUSE: HAVE ASKED AMBASSADOR TO GREECE GUILFOYLE TO RESIGN
YesBloomberg Reporter98%match
News: White House says they’ve asked US Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, per @PressSec
Yesdbws.io97%match
White House says US ambassador to Greece Guilfoyle asked to resign
Yestheguardian.com97%match
Live: US ambassador to Greece Guilfoyle 'asked to resign,' White House says
Yesft.com98%match
White House asks US envoy to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$64K

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Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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