Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? Odds jumped to 30% on Sep 24, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 11.9¢ to 30.1¢ (+18.2 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Russian Media. The market has since resolved No.
How did the odds move?
11.9¢
11.9¢
19.6¢
30.1¢
9.1¢
+18.2 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 24, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 11.9¢ → 24.1¢+12.2 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media
What moved the odds?
YesRussian Media98%match
Kanye West's concert will still take place in St. Petersburg, the American agency Access Opera told 78. According to the source, the dates of two concerts remain the same. "The show is still on for October 10th and 11th," the source emphasized. Also, the show poster has reappeared on the website of the organizer SAY Agency, 78 has learned. Kanye West's show in St. Petersburg was under threat of cancellation. The artist's performance was announced in August. Tickets for the concert sold out within the first few hours. Later, representatives of Gazprom Arena, where the event was to be held, stated that the stadium had not signed a contract with the concert organizer Say Agency, so the show could not take place at this venue. The agency promised to refund tickets if the concert was canceled. More IZ RU news in MAX
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
$1.1M
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Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.