Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? Odds fell to 47% on Nov 12, 2026

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Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 55.5¢ to 46.5¢ (-9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from nikkei.com.

How did the odds move?

At match55.5¢
+5m54¢
+30m57.5¢
+1h46.5¢
1h move-9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesnikkei.com97%match
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang resigns; CFO Kress appointed as interim CEO.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 54% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES54¢
NO47¢

Vol$9K

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Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Jensen Huang resigned or removed & Nvidia above $4T end of 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.