Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? Odds jumped to 88% on Jul 6, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 17¢ to 88¢ (+71 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 4-source news cluster, from N13 Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 6, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 17¢ → 88¢+71 ptsafter a signal from N13 Reporter
- 68¢ → 88¢+20 ptsafter a signal from N13/Kan Reporters
- 73¢ → 89¢+16 ptsafter a signal from J.Post / i24 Reporter
What moved the odds?
Part of a 4-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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