Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? Odds jumped to 98% on Jul 14, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 73¢ to 98¢ (+25 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from alhadath. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 73¢ → 98¢+25 ptsafter a signal from alarabiya
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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