Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? Odds jumped to 52% on Jul 9, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 34.5¢ to 52¢ (+17.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from MTV Lebanon. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
34.5¢
34.5¢
35¢
52¢
30¢
+17.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
YesMTV Lebanon99%match
MTV News: The July 14-15 meetings between Lebanon and Israel will be held at the US Embassy in Rome. Lebanon will be represented by Ambassadors Simon Karam and Nada Mouawad, and a third person, most likely without a military delegation.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
$84K
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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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