Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? Odds jumped to 26% on Jul 8, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 15.5¢ to 25.5¢ (+10 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Asharq Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match15.5¢
+5m15.5¢
+30m26.5¢
+1h25.5¢
+24h34.5¢
1h move+10 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoAsharq Reporter99%match
The Lebanon-Israel meeting in Rome on July 14 & 15 remains pending, as Lebanon insists on starting the implementation of the pilot zones before the meeting takes place.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$84K

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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.