Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Odds jumped to 65% on Sep 13, 2026
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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 56¢ to 64.5¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran Semi-Official Tasnim.
How did the odds move?
56¢
56.5¢
57.5¢
64.5¢
+8.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
YesIran Semi-Official Tasnim95%match
Doctors: Iran and Oman's understanding on the Strait of Hormuz will be finalized tomorrow Doctors in an interview with the India Today news network:
We discussed the Strait of Hormuz in Oman. We actually reached an understanding on a specific framework for the route. On Monday, the foreign ministers of the same Arab countries that we wanted to fight with will meet in Oman to reach an understanding on this route for Hormuz and to announce this situation to the international organization that is dedicated to the sea. Within that framework of international laws, the route will be open, provided that the United States stops its cowardly aggression and aggression.
tasnimnews.ir/3695317
@TasnimNews
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 62% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES62¢
NO38¢
$123K
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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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