Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? Odds jumped to 38% on Nov 2, 2026
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Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? On , the market’s odds jumped from 29¢ to 37.5¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from sedaily.com.
How did the odds move?
29¢
29¢
39¢
37.5¢
+8.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Neutralsedaily.com96%match
Iran: “Hormuz to Open Within Two Days If U.S. Accepts Lifting of Naval Blockade”
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 35% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES35¢
NO66¢
$42K
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Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.