Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings? Odds fell to 2% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings? On , the market’s odds fell from 22¢ to 1.5¢ (-20.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from cnn.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match22¢
+5m22¢
+30m20¢
+1h1.5¢
+24h7¢
1h move-20.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Nocnn.com99%match
IBM is on pace for its worst day ever

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$9K

Follow this market

Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.