Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14? Odds jumped to 96% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14? On , the market’s odds jumped from 70.1¢ to 95.7¢ (+25.6 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from content-static.cctvnews.cctv.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match70.1¢
+5m61.2¢
+30m70.6¢
+1h95.7¢
1h move+25.6 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Nocontent-static.cctvnews.cctv.com99%match
Shanghai upgrades its high-temperature warning to orange; the highest temperature is expected to exceed 37°C.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$17K

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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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