Spread: Belgium (-2.5) — odds jumped to 33% on Jul 7, 2026

ResolvedMove

Spread: Belgium (-2.5) — on , the market’s odds jumped from 8.5¢ to 32.5¢ (+24 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran State News Agency. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match8.5¢
+5m12.5¢
+30m11.5¢
+1h32.5¢
1h move+24 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoIran State News Agency99%match
#WorldCup First goal for the US by Tillman in the 31st minute USA1 1Belgium @IRNA_1313

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put United States at 100%, as of .

United States100¢
Belgium0¢

Vol$789K

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Spread: Belgium (-2.5) — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for United States vs. Belgium - More Markets — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.