Spread: Belgium (-1.5) — odds jumped to 88% on Jul 7, 2026

ResolvedMove

Spread: Belgium (-1.5) — on , the market’s odds jumped from 33.5¢ to 87.5¢ (+54 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Axios Reporter. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match33.5¢
+5m34.5¢
+30m67.5¢
+1h87.5¢
1h move+54 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesAxios Reporter99%match
U.S. has only 2 shots on goal in the entire half. Belgium has about 8. America lucky it’s down only 2-1: Timid defense, dispirited offense, bad passing

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put United States at 100%, as of .

United States100¢
Belgium0¢

Vol$1.7M

Follow this market

Spread: Belgium (-1.5) — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for United States vs. Belgium - More Markets — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.