Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots — odds fell to 50% on Jul 6, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots — on , the market’s odds fell from 59¢ to 49.5¢ (-9.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from alhadath. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match59¢
+5m58.5¢
+30m57.5¢
+1h49.5¢
1h move-9.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 6, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 58.5¢ → 50.5¢-8 ptsafter a signal from foxnews

What moved the odds?

Yesalhadath99%match
How did Trump intervene to overturn the red card given to US player Folarin Balogun at the World Cup?

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$1K

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Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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