Spread: Spain (-1.5) — odds fell to 8% on Jul 6, 2026

ResolvedMove

Spread: Spain (-1.5) — on , the market’s odds fell from 16.5¢ to 8¢ (-8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iranian Media. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match16.5¢
+5m16.5¢
+30m12.5¢
+1h8¢
1h move-8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralIranian Media99%match
End of the first half Portugal 0 - Spain 0 nournews.ir @Nournews_IR [in reply to: Mendez's shot hit the Spanish goal post after hitting the defenders nournews.ir @Nournews_IR]

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put Spain at 0%, as of .

Spain0¢
Portugal100¢

Vol$1.5M

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Spread: Spain (-1.5) — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.