Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? Odds fell to 40% on Jul 6, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? On , the market’s odds fell from 47.5¢ to 39.5¢ (-8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from news.sky.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match47.5¢
+5m47.5¢
+30m42.5¢
+1h39.5¢
1h move-8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralnews.sky.com98%match
Live: Portugal and Spain push to find the opener in Dallas

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$13.2M

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Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Portugal vs. Spain — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.