Will England win on 2026-07-11? Odds fell to 16% on Jul 11, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will England win on 2026-07-11? On , the market’s odds fell from 49.6¢ to 16.4¢ (-33.2 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran Semi-Official Tasnim. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match49.6¢
+5m48.9¢
+30m38.9¢
+1h16.4¢
1h move-33.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralIran Semi-Official Tasnim99%match
England's first goal against Norway by Bellingham in the 45th+2nd minute England 1 - 0 Norway @TasnimNews [in reply to: Norway's first goal against England by Sheldrop in the 36th minute Norway 1 - 0 England @TasnimNews]

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$22.7M

Follow this market

Will England win on 2026-07-11? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Norway vs. England — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.