Spread: Spain (-1.5) — odds jumped to 23% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedMove

Spread: Spain (-1.5)on , the market’s odds jumped from 12.3¢ to 23.4¢ (+11.1 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Washington Examiner Reporter. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match12.3¢
+5m12.5¢
+30m22.9¢
+1h23.4¢
1h move+11.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 24.6¢ → 61.5¢+36.9 ptsafter a signal from Fox Business Reporter
  • 23.9¢ → 63.1¢+39.3 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
  • 22.6¢ → 73.5¢+50.9 ptsafter a signal from French Media

What moved the odds?

NoWashington Examiner Reporter99%match
Spain wins. 1-0

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put Spain at 100%, as of .

Spain100¢
France0¢

Vol$1.1M

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Spread: Spain (-1.5) — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for France vs. Spain - More Markets — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.