France leading at halftime? Odds fell to 4% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

France leading at halftime? On , the market’s odds fell from 29.5¢ to 3.5¢ (-26 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from news.web.nhk. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match29.5¢
+5m29.5¢
+30m29.5¢
+1h3.5¢
1h move-26 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralnews.web.nhk99%match
World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain [Live Coverage Scheduled] A clash of powerhouses – don't miss it!

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$362K

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France leading at halftime? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for France vs. Spain - Halftime Result — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.