Spain leading at halftime? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Spain leading at halftime? On , the market’s odds jumped from 25.5¢ to 100¢ (+74.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Washington Examiner Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match25.5¢
+5m26¢
+30m72.5¢
+1h100¢
1h move+74.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 72¢ → 100¢+28 ptsafter a signal from Lebanese broadcaster Al-Jadeed

What moved the odds?

YesWashington Examiner Reporter99%match
Spain wins. 1-0

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$485K

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Spain leading at halftime? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for France vs. Spain - Halftime Result — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.