Will France win on 2026-07-14? Odds fell to 18% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will France win on 2026-07-14? On , the market’s odds fell from 36.4¢ to 17.6¢ (-18.7 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from news.sky.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match36.4¢
+5m37.6¢
+30m22.4¢
+1h17.6¢
1h move-18.7 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 19.6¢ → 2.1¢-17.5 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media

What moved the odds?

Yesnews.sky.com99%match
Live: Your predictions | France to win 2-1

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$32.7M

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Will France win on 2026-07-14? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for France vs. Spain — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.