Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? Odds jumped to 55% on Jul 14, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? On , the market’s odds jumped from 30.1¢ to 54.6¢ (+24.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Washington Examiner Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 30.1¢ → 54.4¢+24.3 ptsafter a signal from apnews.com
- 51.6¢ → 87.4¢+35.8 ptsafter a signal from Iran State News Agency
- 51.6¢ → 87.4¢+35.8 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Fars
- 51.4¢ → 87.4¢+36 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
- 53.9¢ → 96.9¢+43 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Fars
- 54.9¢ → 99.1¢+44.3 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for France vs. Spain — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.