Spread: England (-5.5) — odds jumped to 12% on Jul 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Spread: England (-5.5) — on , the market’s odds jumped from 0.2¢ to 12.5¢ (+12.3 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran Semi-Official Tasnim. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match0.2¢
+5m0.2¢
+30m1.5¢
+1h12.5¢
1h move+12.3 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 9.2¢ → 0.1¢-9.1 ptsafter a signal from Latvia's Foreign Minister

What moved the odds?

YesIran Semi-Official Tasnim94%match
England's first goal against France by Rice in the 3rd minute @TasnimNews [in reply to: France and England lineup Broadcast on Channel 3, 00:30 #football @TasnimNews]

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put France at 0%, as of .

France0¢
England100¢

Vol$164K

Follow this market

Spread: England (-5.5) — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for France vs. England - More Markets — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.