Spread: England (-2.5) — odds fell to 11% on Jul 18, 2026

ResolvedMove

Spread: England (-2.5) — on , the market’s odds fell from 73.2¢ to 11.1¢ (-62.1 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Iran Semi-Official SNN. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match73.2¢
+5m74.3¢
+30m16.9¢
+1h11.1¢
1h move-62.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 74.7¢ → 0.1¢-74.6 ptsafter a signal from Latvia's Foreign Minister
  • 41.1¢ → 0.1¢-41 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN
  • 40.1¢ → 0.1¢-40 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Fars

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesIran Semi-Official SNN95%match
FWD from Goal Channel | Snn Sport: #Live_Coverage|England's fourth goal against France with a double from Bukayo Saka in the 1st + 45th minute England 4 - 0 France News Details SNNTV exclusive report Now SNNTV live broadcast Get the latest news: Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @SnnGoal

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put France at 0%, as of .

France0¢
England100¢

Vol$1.1M

Follow this market

Spread: England (-2.5) — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for France vs. England - More Markets — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.