Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots — odds jumped to 92% on Jul 18, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots — on , the market’s odds jumped from 50.5¢ to 91.5¢ (+41 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Iran Semi-Official SNN. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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