Spread: Spain (-2.5) — odds fell to 4% on Jul 10, 2026

ResolvedMove

Spread: Spain (-2.5) — on , the market’s odds fell from 12.4¢ to 3.5¢ (-8.9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from news.sky.com. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match12.4¢
+5m23.6¢
+30m6.9¢
+1h3.5¢
1h move-8.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralnews.sky.com99%match
Live: Spain dominate early stages

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put Spain at 0%, as of .

Spain0¢
Belgium100¢

Vol$307K

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Spread: Spain (-2.5) — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.