Spain to win the second half? Odds fell to 37% on Jul 10, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Spain to win the second half? On , the market’s odds fell from 62¢ to 36.5¢ (-25.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from news.sky.com. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 10, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 56¢ → 32¢-24 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
- 56¢ → 85¢+29 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Spain to win the second half? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Spain vs. Belgium - Second Half Result — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.