Spain to win the second half? Odds fell to 1% on Jul 19, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No
Spain to win the second half? On , the market’s odds fell from 41.5¢ to 0.5¢ (-41 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN. The market has since resolved No.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 19, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 30.5¢ → 0.1¢-30.4 ptsafter a signal from washingtonpost.com
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
$31K
Follow this market
Spain to win the second half? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Spain vs. Argentina - Second Half Result — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.