Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw? Odds jumped to 68% on Jul 19, 2026

Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw? On Jul 19, 2026, 20:02 UTC, the market’s odds jumped from 38¢ to 68¢ (+30 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran State News Agency. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 19, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Jul 19, 2026, 20:10 UTC39.5¢ → 89¢+49.5 ptsafter a signal from Venezuela State-Backed TV

What moved the odds?

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 15:45 UTC.

Vol$31K

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Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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