Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? Odds fell to 0% on Jul 19, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? On , the market’s odds fell from 41¢ to 0.1¢ (-40.9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from washingtonpost.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match41¢
+5m27¢
+30m8.5¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-40.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralwashingtonpost.com98%match
Live: There’s the whistle for the end of regulation: We’re headed to extra time, with Spain and Argentina tied 0-0. Emiliano Martínez has stepped up big time for Argentina, making 10 saves — including a lunging denial of Lamine Yamal’s free kick deep into second-half stoppage time that nearly won the title for Spain in iconic fashion. We’ll now play two 15-minute extra-time periods (with no golden goal), and head to a shootout if necessary.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$876K

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